
3/4/2025:
Tuesday Mortgage Memo: Your Weekly Market Highlights
5 Key Insights for Mortgage Brokers
As market conditions evolve, there are key developments that directly impact how you advise clients. Here’s what you need to know this week:
1️⃣ US Tariffs Are Now in Effect – What Brokers Should Tell Clients
- Trump's new import tariffs on Canadian goods went live this week, heightening economic uncertainty and impacting consumer confidence. (Source: MLN Mortgage Memo – Mar. 3, 2025)
- Broker Strategy: Clients may worry about rising inflation—remind them that the Bank of Canada is still expected to cut rates as a response, keeping borrowing costs lower. Help them focus on long-term affordability rather than short-term headlines.
2️⃣ Variable Rates Are Outperforming Fixed Rates
- With more rate cuts expected, variable rates are now projected to have the lowest borrowing cost over five years compared to any fixed option. (Source: Integrated Mortgage Planners – Mar. 3, 2025)
- Broker Strategy: Educate clients who automatically lean toward fixed rates. If they can handle some short-term rate movement, variable mortgages will likely save them money.
3️⃣ Listings Are Up, Sales Are Down – Buyer Opportunity?
- New home listings jumped 11% in January, while sales slowed due to tariff uncertainty. This means more inventory and less competition for buyers. (Source: Canadian New Listings Report – Feb. 18, 2025)
- Broker Strategy: Re-engage hesitant buyers who backed off in late 2024. If they were priced out before, now could be a window of opportunity to buy at better value before the market picks up in the spring.
4️⃣ Big Banks Are Getting Aggressive on Mortgage Renewals
- RBC’s new mortgage renewal app is making it easier for clients to accept renewals without shopping around, and banks are offering deeper renewal discounts to retain clients. (Source: RBC Mortgage Renewal Report – Feb. 23, 2025)
- Broker Strategy: Proactively reach out to past clients before their lender does. Remind them that banks may not offer the best deal upfront and you can compare options to find the best renewal strategy.
5️⃣ Market Signals Suggest More Rate Cuts Ahead
- Bond yields continue trending lower, and there’s now a 78% probability of a 25-bps Bank of Canada rate cut on March 12. (Source: MLN Mortgage Memo – Mar. 3, 2025)
- Broker Strategy: Help pre-approved buyers time their rate holds carefully. If they’re going variable, remind them that further rate drops will benefit them—but if they prefer fixed, they should lock in a competitive rate now before potential lender adjustments.
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Final Thought:
Brokers who proactively engage their clients will win in this environment. Variable rates are king right now, buyer opportunities are emerging, and banks are doubling down on renewals—make sure you're guiding your clients to the best financial decisions.
Let’s make it a strong week!
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Stay Informed, Stay Ahead!
Don’t forget—these updates are a high-level summary.
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Episode 30: Economic Shockwaves: Tariffs, Rates & Housing with Dr. Sherry Cooper
Guest: Dr. Sherry Cooper - Chief Economist, Dominion Lending Centres
💡 Why Every Mortgage Broker Needs to Hear This Conversation:
- Tariffs & Trade: How proposed U.S. tariffs could shake the Canadian economy.
- Rate Forecasts: What’s next for interest rates, and how should brokers prepare?
- Housing Market Trends: Will declining rates fuel another housing surge?
- Broker Strategies: How to guide clients in uncertain times.
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