
08/05/2025:
Tuesday Mortgage Memo: Your Weekly Market Highlights
5 KEY HIGHLIGHTS BROKERS NEED TO KNOW
This week, markets are digesting weaker U.S. job data, diverging inflation paths between Canada and the U.S., and ongoing lender recalibrations. While bond yields remain relatively anchored, central bank tone shifts and subdued credit demand are reshaping mid-term outlooks. Brokers must be nimble—balancing optimism with realism—as we enter a pivotal part of the rate cycle. Let’s dive in:
1️⃣ Canadian Bond Yields Fall Below 3% Amid U.S. Jobs Weakness
While U.S. job numbers came in well below expectations, Canada’s 5-year bond yield also fell—now under 3%—as markets brace for weaker growth. U.S. labor data showed minimal job creation and deep downward revisions to previous figures, sparking concerns about the underlying economic health. In times of poor economic signals, yields often decline as investors flock to safety.
Source:
RMG Your Morning Bru: United States Drama and Canadian Job Numbers Coming – Bruno Valko, August 5, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Use this moment to talk to rate-watchers and fence-sitters. Falling yields present a window for more attractive fixed-rate options, but volatility remains high.
2️⃣ Chart Spotlight: U.S. Job Creation Revisions Raise Alarms
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) has revised 2025 job creation downward by 50%, slashing 534,000 jobs off its prior estimates. This follows a troubling trend of unreliable headline data and has prompted discussions about statistical credibility.
Source: RMG Your Morning Bru – Bruno Valko, Aug 5, 2025
This chart highlights just how dramatically the U.S. has revised employment numbers over the past three years—2025 showing a staggering 50% revision rate.
While Canada faces slowing GDP growth and rising unemployment, the U.S. economy continues to show resilience, with stronger growth and steadier job markets. These contrasting trends are shaping differing interest rate paths for the two countries..

🔑 Broker Strategy: Use this to reinforce to clients why relying on headlines can be misleading. Explain how deeper analysis and revisions often shape the real rate story—and why early decisions can be strategic.
3️⃣ Canadian Labour Report Due This Week: What to Watch
Stats Canada will release its July employment data on Friday, with expectations of a modest rebound. Consensus shows 14.5k new jobs vs. a previous 83k. Unemployment is expected to rise slightly to 7%. Market watchers will pay close attention to full-time job changes and wage growth, both of which could influence BoC policy direction.
Source: TradingEconomics.com – Canada Labour Calendar
🔑 Broker Strategy: Prep your database now. Regardless of the headline number, the BoC is watching wage growth closely. Higher wages may slow rate cut expectations.
4️⃣ Imputed Inflation Data Clouds U.S. Economic Outlook
Due to staff limitations and estimation methods, the share of U.S. inflation data that is “imputed” (i.e., guessed based on models) has jumped from 10% to 35% in 2025. This raises credibility concerns and affects market pricing, particularly for longer-term forecasts.
Source: RMG Morning Bru – August 5, 2025, CPI Data Revisions Section
🔑 Broker Strategy: Highlight to clients why Canadian rate policy is diverging from the U.S. Share how our inflation data is more dependable and may lead to more timely BoC action.
5️⃣ Yield Curve Still Inverted, But Narrowing
Despite volatility in job data, the U.S. and Canadian yield curves remain inverted—signaling investor concern about long-term growth. However, the spread between short- and long-term bond yields is narrowing, which could be a signal that the worst is behind us. Markets are increasingly pricing in rate cuts, but not aggressively.
Source: Market Insights – August Bond Commentary, via industry roundups
🔑 Broker Strategy: Short-term fixed rates are still a prime strategy. Recommend terms in the 1- to 3-year range for clients expecting cuts in 2026, while avoiding locking into potentially peaking longer-term rates.
📢 Final Thought:
A weakening U.S. jobs picture, rising imputed data estimates, and more reliable Canadian labor figures mean now is the time for brokers to show leadership. With inflation data and jobs reports being revised frequently, brokers should double down on rate education, scenario planning, and proactive outreach.
📢 Stay Informed, Stay Ahead!
These updates are a high-level summary. For deeper insights, subscribe to Mortgage Logic News via our ABW Agent Intranet under our corporate plan.

EPISODE 46: Behind the Broker with Vy Tri Truong
Guest: Vy Tri Truong
Vy Tri Truong, mortgage broker and licensed financial advisor at A Better Way Mortgage, shares how blending comprehensive financial planning with mortgage strategy can create life-changing outcomes for clients. In this episode, Vy walks us through his journey from failed broker to trusted advisor, revealing the lessons learned along the way—and how his planning-first approach reshapes client conversations from “rate shopping” to long-term wealth building.
From navigating reverse mortgages and tax-efficient investing to retiring clients with creative RRSP leverage, Vy brings a level of thoughtfulness and expertise rarely seen in the mortgage world. He also dives into mentorship, his minimalist tech stack, health habits, and why giving back to the brokerage community keeps him motivated.
Vy’s story is proof that when you lead with value, do the right thing, and treat clients like family, business follows.
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