
7/22/2025:
Tuesday Mortgage Memo: Your Weekly Market Highlights
5 KEY HIGHLIGHTS BROKERS NEED TO KNOW
With bond yields flattening, inflation readings staying sticky, and a wave of cautious lender sentiment, the rate landscape remains volatile. Brokers who stay ahead of central bank signals and economic trends will be best positioned to guide clients through summer deal structuring. Here’s what matters this week:
1️⃣ Quiet Bonds, but Lenders Remain Reluctant to Cut
Despite little movement in GoC bond yields, many lenders remain cautious. Fixed rates have plateaued, and lenders are hesitant to reintroduce deep discounting. This “wait and watch” approach stems from lingering concerns about inflation resilience and profit margin compression.
Source: Fixed-Rate Sentiment Cooling? – Mortgage Logic News, July 21, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Use the calm to your advantage—encourage clients to lock in rates now, especially those approaching pre-approval expiry. Don’t assume the next move will be down.
2️⃣ Sticky Inflation: Canada's Core Remains Elevated
While Canada’s headline inflation for June sat at a more palatable 1.9%, core inflation jumped to 2.7%, up from 2.5% last month. This is a key concern for the Bank of Canada, which targets 2%—and rising oil prices and mortgage costs are adding to pressure.
Source: RMG Your Monday Morning Bru – Bruno Valko, July 21, 2025
Below is a snapshot of Canada’s core inflation trend, highlighting the recent reversal and renewed pressure on the Bank of Canada’s rate path:

🔑 Broker Strategy: Educate clients on what “core inflation” means. If rate cuts are delayed, variable holders may see less relief. Consider 1- to 3-year fixed options as inflation-driven uncertainty lingers.
3️⃣ U.S. Recession Warnings Are Flashing (Again)
The Conference Board’s Leading Economic Index fell below the “recession signal” line for a third straight month, a sign that many analysts now take seriously. While no formal recession has been declared, the index suggests weakness in consumer sentiment and business activity could drag into Q4.
Source: Recession or Not? Reading the U.S. LEI – RMG Monday Morning Bru, July 21, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Monitor U.S. data closely—it has implications for BoC policy. Use these moments to encourage pre-approvals before volatility returns.
4️⃣ Tariffs and Trade Policy Are Reigniting Inflation Fears
Tensions around tariffs between the U.S. and trading partners have stoked fears of supply chain price increases. A CBS poll reveals 70% of Americans believe the government isn’t doing enough to control prices, while only 5% support more tariffs. These pressures are inflationary and may complicate monetary policy plans.
Source: Inflation & Tariff Risks – CBS News Poll & RMG Weekly Outlook, July 21, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Flag tariff-driven inflation as a hidden risk to rate stability. Position this moment as an ideal time to lock in affordable financing options.
5️⃣ Fed and BoC Watch: Next Week’s Decision Could Shift Everything
The Bank of Canada and U.S. Federal Reserve are both scheduled to meet next week. Most experts anticipate a hold, but the language used in their policy statements will be critical. Any shift in tone—hawkish or dovish—could ripple through the mortgage rate landscape by early August.
Source: RMG Your Monday Morning Bru – Bruno Valko, July 21, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Get ahead of client questions now. If guidance becomes more hawkish, we could see upward pressure on rates return quickly.
📢 Final Thought:
As summer heats up, markets remain lukewarm on rate optimism. Bond markets are calm—but inflation, trade risk, and global uncertainty are still making waves. Brokers who act now, not later, will be the ones to lock in wins for their clients.
📢 Stay Informed, Stay Ahead!
These updates are a high-level summary. For deeper insights, subscribe to Mortgage Logic News via our ABW Agent Intranet under our corporate plan.

EPISODE 45: Realtor Panel from The Ascend Conference
Guest: Ally Ballam, Mike Marfori, Ty Corsie & Chase Shymkiw
Ally Ballam, Mike Marfori, Ty Corsie, and Chase Shymkiw—four of Canada’s most recognized Realtors—share an unfiltered look at what it takes to succeed (and stand out) in today’s real estate market. From mastering personal branding and creating compelling social media to building trust with clients and navigating pricing volatility, this episode offers a practical playbook for brokers and agents alike.
You’ll hear firsthand how each panelist built a business rooted in authenticity and consistency, why proactive communication and education are more critical than ever, and how to turn market uncertainty into opportunity. Whether you’re a broker seeking stronger Realtor partnerships or an agent looking to level up your strategy, this candid discussion is packed with insights you can apply right now.
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