
6/17/2025:
Tuesday Mortgage Memo: Your Weekly Market Highlights
5 KEY HIGHLIGHTS BROKERS NEED TO KNOW
Markets are digesting shifting bond sentiment, swap rate signals, and housing stabilization cues. Here's what matters most this week:
1️⃣ 4-Year Swap Rates Offer a Clearer Read on Fixed-Rate Trends
Swap rates—particularly the 4-year—are now favored by many lenders over traditional bond yields for pricing fixed mortgages. They more directly reflect funding costs, especially for uninsured mortgages. The 4-year swap’s correlation with the 5-year fixed is strong, yet it often offers earlier warning signs of lender repricing.
Source: 4-Year Swap Rates: Why Mortgage Pros Rely on Them – Mortgage Logic News
🔑 Broker Strategy: Watch for swap breakouts. When 4-year swaps surge, fixed rates often follow within days. Alert clients to lock in quickly when upward moves appear.
2️⃣ 5-Year Bond Yield Inches Up on Trade Optimism
Canada’s 5-year government bond yield rose 3 bps Monday amid optimism from the G7 summit and easing global trade tensions. With economic data steady and oil-driven inflation bubbling, traders are scaling back expectations for rate cuts by the BoC and the Fed.
Source: 5yr Yield Up 3 Bps as Trade Outlook Brightens – Mortgage Logic News
🔑 Broker Strategy: If rate cuts get delayed again, upward pressure on fixed rates could return. Push hesitant clients to secure pre-approvals now while spreads remain stable.
3️⃣ Canadian Housing Sales Rebound, But Prices Flatline
May saw a 3.6% monthly rise in national home sales, breaking a six-month slump. Inventory held at nearly five months—typical of balanced conditions. However, benchmark prices dipped again, with CREA’s Home Price Index down 3.5% year-over-year.
Source: Canadian National Home Sales Were Up 3.6% Month-over-Month – Dr. Sherry Cooper, Dominion Lending Centres
🔑 Broker Strategy: Use the sales rebound to motivate buyers, especially those waiting for better timing. Pair this momentum with renewed affordability from flat pricing to get fence-sitters off the sidelines.
4️⃣ Bond Market Recalibrates Rate Cut Bets After US Inflation
Last week’s softer US inflation data was expected to bring down yields—but bond markets quickly reversed as investors digested ongoing geopolitical risk and sticky inflation. The floor for yields may be forming, hinting that BoC and Fed cuts could be further off.
Source: Was Last Week’s Bond-Market Reaction a Warning for Our Mortgage Rates? – David Larock, Integrated Mortgage Planners
🔑 Broker Strategy: Educate clients on volatility. For variable-rate clients, emphasize long-term planning. For fixed-rate shoppers, caution that waiting may no longer guarantee better deals.
5️⃣ Mindset Shift: Ask Anyway
In his latest BTBB blog, Dustan Woodhouse reminds brokers that the one who asks is the one who gets. Rejection is temporary—but silence guarantees no progress. This is a call to reconnect, not just with clients, but with the craft of asking more questions, more often.
Source: The One Who Asks… – Dustan Woodhouse, BTBB Blog
🔑 Broker Strategy: Pick up the phone. Reach out with curiosity, not pitch. “How are you doing this summer?” might be the most valuable line you use this week.
📢 Final Thought:
Between rising swaps, quiet bonds, and cautious housing rebounds, the market is giving brokers subtle—but important—signals. Stay sharp, act early, and help your clients understand the data behind the rates.
📢 Stay Informed, Stay Ahead!
These updates are a high-level summary. For deeper insights, subscribe to Mortgage Logic News via our ABW Agent Intranet under our corporate plan.

EPISODE 43: BEHIND THE LENDER with Mike Forshee, President of Glasslake Funding
Guest: Mike Forshee
Mike Forshee, President of Glasslake Funding and Managing Director at Bayview Asset Management, shares how Glasslake is redefining alt lending through disciplined portfolio building, story-based underwriting, and a human-first approach to deal structuring. From commercial lending to communication culture, Mike emphasizes sustainability, broker education, and why Glasslake focuses on structure and service—not just speed or rate—in today’s evolving mortgage landscape.
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