
6/24/2025:
Tuesday Mortgage Memo: Your Weekly Market Highlights
5 KEY HIGHLIGHTS BROKERS NEED TO KNOW
With inflation reports, global unrest, and cautious lender behavior shaping rate direction, this week’s developments are pivotal. Brokers who track credit spreads, watch bond markets, and stay inflation-aware will be positioned to guide clients through what may be a turning point in rate policy. Here’s what you need to know:
1️⃣ Fixed Rates Creep Higher Despite Stable Yields
Several lenders increased their 5-year fixed rates by 5–10 bps last week. While Canadian bond yields held steady, many lenders are reacting to sustained inflation concerns and rising funding costs, rather than rate cut optimism. This marks the second straight week of cautious lender movement despite stable markets.
Source: Fixed Mortgage Rates Rising Amid Stable Bond Yields – Mortgage Logic News
🔑 Broker Strategy: Encourage clients to secure pre-approvals and rate holds before further bumps. Remind them that lender discounting may be capped even if BoC moves to cut this summer.
2️⃣ Geopolitical Tensions Are Weighing on Market Sentiment
Geopolitical instability has increased appetite for U.S. Treasuries and Canadian bonds. This can temporarily support lower yields despite inflation trends—but the effect may be short-lived if global tensions escalate. Oil prices have surged amid Middle East conflict, adding inflationary pressure just as policymakers weigh the timing of potential rate cuts.
Source: RMG Your Monday Morning Bru: Inflation & Geopolitical Unrest – Bruno Valko, June 23, 2025

🔑 Broker Strategy: Position this moment as an opportunity for cautious optimism. Educate clients on how safe-haven flows could create a short-term bond yield dip—ideal for rate locks before inflation pressure resurfaces.
3️⃣ Critical Inflation Data Drops This Week Could Shift the Narrative
Canada’s inflation figures drop Tuesday, with headline CPI forecast at 1.7%—a reading that aligns with BoC’s comfort zone. But it’s the core and trimmed-mean metrics that remain sticky, still hovering at 2.5–3%. In the U.S., the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge—the Core PCE Price Index—is due Friday and expected to rise to 2.6% from 2.5%. These readings may delay anticipated rate cuts if disinflation proves elusive.
Source: TradingEconomics.com – June 23, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Use this week’s data window to re-engage hesitant borrowers. Break down what each metric means and how they affect rates. If inflation disappoints, this may be the last low-rate window for weeks.
4️⃣ Widening Credit Spreads Curtail Lender Aggressiveness
Although GoC bond yields haven’t surged, lender spreads have widened—especially on uninsured and jumbo products. This puts upward pressure on fixed rates, even as market expectations lean toward easing. Lenders are also tightening promotional offers, citing margin pressure.
Source: Bruno’s Weekly Lender Update – June 22, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Focus on insured solutions when structuring deals. Run side-by-side comparisons for clients to show why a modestly smaller down payment may actually lower their rate and save on interest over time.
5️⃣ Fixed vs. Variable: The Market's Mood Shifts Again
Client conversations have shifted slightly back toward variable-rate options following softer inflation expectations and rising hopes for gradual rate cuts. However, the volatile bond market and persistent global inflation pressures continue to make short-term fixed rates the dominant choice. Brokers are increasingly recommending hybrid strategies or 1- to 3-year fixed terms to clients who want flexibility without immediate rate risk.
Source: Bruno’s Weekly Lender Update – June 22, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Reinforce the benefits of short-term fixed rates as a hedge during volatile times. For clients worried about missing the bottom on variable rates, consider building layered strategies that combine term security with future flexibility. Encourage renewals before the next central bank policy signals, especially if bond yields rebound.
📢 Final Thought:
Between rising swaps, quiet bonds, and cautious housing rebounds, the market is giving brokers subtle—but important—signals. Stay sharp, act early, and help your clients understand the data behind the rates.
📢 Stay Informed, Stay Ahead!
These updates are a high-level summary. For deeper insights, subscribe to Mortgage Logic News via our ABW Agent Intranet under our corporate plan.

EPISODE 43: BEHIND THE LENDER with Mike Forshee, President of Glasslake Funding
Guest: Mike Forshee
Mike Forshee, President of Glasslake Funding and Managing Director at Bayview Asset Management, shares how Glasslake is redefining alt lending through disciplined portfolio building, story-based underwriting, and a human-first approach to deal structuring. From commercial lending to communication culture, Mike emphasizes sustainability, broker education, and why Glasslake focuses on structure and service—not just speed or rate—in today’s evolving mortgage landscape.
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