
5/6/2025:
Tuesday Mortgage Memo: Your Weekly Market Highlights
5 KEY HIGHLIGHTS BROKERS NEED TO KNOW
With jobs data, trade diplomacy, and bond yield swings dominating the landscape, it’s a week packed with cues for proactive mortgage strategies. Here’s what to know:
1️⃣ U.S. Job Gains Spark Yield Spike—But Revisions Tell Another Story
The U.S. added 177,000 jobs in April, beating estimates. However, 58,000 jobs were quietly erased through negative revisions for February and March—casting doubt on headline strength. Yields rose, pulling Canadian bond yields along, with the 5-year rising 8 bps Friday alone.
🔑 Broker Strategy: Advise clients eyeing fixed rates to act quickly. Rising yields may pressure lenders to increase rates this week. Still, temper expectations by explaining the data behind the data—true job strength may be overstated.
2️⃣ Carney-Trump Talks Cool Trade Anxiety—for Now
In their first high-stakes meeting, PM Carney and President Trump struck a surprisingly cordial tone. Trump pledged support for Canada and even floated a new trade deal. While no tariff reversals emerged, optimism nudged bond yields and markets higher.
🔑 Broker Strategy: Share the update with clients. Emphasize how stable diplomacy helps reduce volatility in mortgage pricing. For variable-rate borrowers, use this moment to reassure and maintain confidence in mid-term rate stability.
3️⃣ Fixed-Rate Volatility Returns Amid Inflation Worries
Bond yields swung wildly last week—nudged by GDP disappointment and later spiked by jobs data. While GoC bond yields finished marginally lower overall, the tug-of-war has made lenders cautious. Some are lifting insured and uninsured fixed rates (e.g., 1-year fixed +24 bps at Innovation CU).
🔑 Broker Strategy: Suggest pre-approvals for clients on the fence. Rate holds can shield them from sudden hikes. For clients renewing in the next 6 months, prompt action can save thousands.
4️⃣ Manulife’s MPP Insurance Surge—A Broker Revenue Booster
Brokers helped Manulife post record MPP (Mortgage Protection Plan) sales in 2024. This was driven by stronger broker participation, regulatory nudges, and platform exclusivity. Compensation incentives remain high—$765 per MPP policy vs. $241 for a typical 10-year term.
🔑 Broker Strategy: For clients concerned about financial security, MPP offers immediate approval, portability, and job-loss protection. Just ensure clients understand trade-offs vs. term life. Use this product to deepen value while enhancing broker revenue.
5️⃣ Economic Crosswinds = Fixed or Float?
The U.S. GDP dipped in Q1, while Canada eked out a 0.1% gain. Inflation fears persist, but many analysts still anticipate BoC rate cuts by summer. Desjardins pegs a 62% chance for a June 4 cut. Still, central banks are watching tariff impacts closely.
🔑 Broker Strategy: Clients choosing between fixed and variable should consider hybrid strategies or short-term fixed options. Highlight the likelihood of BoC cuts, but explain how rising credit spreads and funding costs are blunting lender enthusiasm for deeper discounts.
📢 Final Thought:
Global economic storylines—from Washington to Ottawa—are reshaping mortgage dynamics. Fixed-rate fluctuations, trade diplomacy, and misleading jobs data call for a steady broker hand. Stay nimble, educate often, and don’t miss this window to prove your value.
📢 Stay Informed, Stay Ahead!
These updates are a high-level summary. For deeper insights, subscribe to Mortgage Logic News via our ABW Agent Intranet under our corporate plan.

EPISODE 40: BEHIND THE LENDER with Steve Ponte of PHL Capital
Guest: Steve Ponte
Steve Ponte, CEO of PHL Capital, shares how the firm grew from a $635K investment club to a $1B MIC by focusing on common-sense lending, strong broker relationships, and full-spectrum mortgage solutions across residential and commercial deals.
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