
5/27/2025:
Tuesday Mortgage Memo: Your Weekly Market Highlights
5 KEY HIGHLIGHTS BROKERS NEED TO KNOW
Sticky inflation, diverging borrower risk premiums, and a possible regulatory pivot are reshaping rate trends. Here's what to watch and how to guide clients:
1️⃣ Bond Yields Keep Climbing—Fixed Rates Face Upward Pressure
Canada’s 5-year bond yield surged from 2.694% to 2.958% through May—a 26 bps spike—mirroring a steep rise in U.S. Treasury yields. The jump is being driven by sticky inflation (Canada at 2.5%, U.S. at 2.8%), expansive government spending, and poor bond demand, all contributing to upward rate pressure.
Source: RMG Monday Morning Bru – Bruno Valko, May 27, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Encourage clients to act quickly on fixed rates. With bond markets rattled by inflation and fiscal fears, lender repricing could come sooner than expected.
2️⃣ Core Inflation Not Easing—BoC Cut Expectations Fade
Inflation remains stuck above target—Canada at 2.5% and the U.S. at 2.8%. This persistent trend is complicating the Bank of Canada’s rate path. While markets once priced in summer rate cuts, that window may now be narrowing as central banks balance growth with inflation containment.
Source: RMG Monday Morning Bru – Bruno Valko, May 27, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Variable-rate clients hoping for near-term relief should be coached for patience. Suggest hybrid terms or short fixed-rate options to hedge against policy delay.
3️⃣ OSFI Floats Targeted Stress Test Reform
Canada’s top regulator, OSFI, hinted that the mortgage stress test may be adjusted—potentially lowering barriers for borrowers with low risk profiles (e.g., high credit/low LTV). The move could mark a pivot from one-size-fits-all oversight to more dynamic qualification benchmarks.
Source: Mortgage Logic News – May 23, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Update pre-approved buyers—particularly those previously just shy of qualifying. This potential policy change could create an entry point for sidelined clients.
4️⃣ Insured vs. Uninsured Rate Gap Widens
Lenders are increasingly diverging in pricing between insured and uninsured mortgages. The shift reflects growing risk premiums, changing funding conditions, and lender appetites under tightening credit conditions.
Source: Mortgage Logic News – May 26, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Use this rate divergence to highlight strategic financing—insured mortgages may offer lower rates. Structure deals to maximize client affordability and qualification flexibility.
5️⃣ The Power of a Simple Call
In this week’s BTBB Sunday Blog, Dustan Woodhouse recounts how a single “How are you?” call turned into two international speaking gigs. The takeaway? Lead with genuine curiosity and good things happen.
Source: BTBB Sunday Blog – May 25, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Block time today for outbound calls. No pitch. No ask. Just a personal check-in. Relationships aren’t built in a rate sheet—they’re built in conversation.
📢 Final Thought:
This week is a masterclass in contrasts—rising yields amid recession chatter, sticky inflation with calls for cuts, and regulators softening just as lenders tighten. The opportunity? Be the bridge. Guide clients with clarity, empathy, and timely solutions.
📢 Stay Informed, Stay Ahead!
These updates are a high-level summary. For deeper insights, subscribe to Mortgage Logic News via our ABW Agent Intranet under our corporate plan.

EPISODE 41: BEHIND THE LEADER with Mario Cloutier, Head of Mortgage Creditor at MPP
Guest: Mario Cloutier
Mario Cloutier, Head of Mortgage Creditor at MPP, shares leadership strategies rooted in collaboration, clear communication, and training - while urging brokers to treat mortgage protection as essential to financial planning.
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