
6/03/2025:
Tuesday Mortgage Memo: Your Weekly Market Highlights
5 KEY HIGHLIGHTS BROKERS NEED TO KNOW
As the Bank of Canada decision looms and delinquency data rises, this week is full of signals for proactive mortgage brokers. Here’s what matters now:
1️⃣ No Rate Cut Expected This Week—But Cuts Still Likely This Year
The Bank of Canada is widely expected to hold its overnight rate on June 4th, with bond markets placing an 80% chance of no cut. Despite headline CPI dropping to 1.7% in April, core inflation metrics remain above target—CPI Trim at 3.1% and CPI Median at 3.2%. These sticky core numbers are keeping the BoC sidelined for now.
Source: David Larock, Integrated Mortgage Planners – “More Bank of Canada Rate Cuts Should Be Forthcoming, But Not This Week”, June 2, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Manage variable-rate expectations. Clients should be advised that while more cuts are coming, timing remains uncertain. Lock in short-term fixed if they’re seeking immediate stability.
2️⃣ Mortgage Delinquencies and Debt Loads Climb
Equifax reports that 1.4 million Canadians missed a non-mortgage credit payment in Q1—the highest since 2009. Mortgage delinquencies are also up, especially in Ontario and BC. Total consumer debt hit $2.55T, with non-mortgage debt per person rising to $21,859.
Source: Bruno Valko, RMG Monday Morning Bru – June 2, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Renewals and refinances are key opportunities. Help clients reassess debts, consolidate where needed, and build budget buffers before rates or costs spike again.
3️⃣ GDP Surprises to the Upside—But the Party May Be Short
Canada’s Q1 GDP grew at 2.2%, exceeding forecasts. This strength was fuelled by pre-tariff export surges rather than broad-based consumer growth. Construction and resale activity fell sharply, with household savings dropping to multi-year lows—suggesting weakness ahead.
Source: Dr. Sherry Cooper, Dominion Lending Centres – May 30, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Use the GDP surprise to instill urgency in buyers but emphasize that the growth is likely temporary. Reinforce long-term affordability as rates may not fall as quickly as hoped.
4️⃣ 3-Year Fixed Becomes the Market’s Value Pick
This week’s lowest projected borrowing cost belongs to the 3-year fixed. It narrowly edged out variable and 5-year fixed in terms of value. Markets now price in two additional BoC cuts this year—making shorter terms appealing for flexibility seekers.
Source: Mortgage Logic News – May 31, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Offer 3-year fixed options to fence-sitters. It’s a strategic play for those wanting medium-term rate stability with flexibility if cuts accelerate.
5️⃣ "Choose Your Headline"—Mindset Wins in Every Market
Dustan Woodhouse reflects on the power of selective focus. While media noise dominates, brokers should centre themselves on client service and momentum. A simple shift in perspective—from doomscrolling to proactive calling—can reset the entire week.
Source: Dustan Woodhouse, BTBB Blog – June 1, 2025
🔑 Broker Strategy: Get on the phone. Your next file might be hiding in a simple "How are you?" call. Energy is contagious—lead with yours.
📢 Final Thought:
This week, watchful optimism is the theme. A rate cut pause doesn’t mean opportunity pauses. Brokers who lean into renewals, shift into value products like the 3-year fixed, and reach out with confidence will thrive. Let’s make it a strong week!
📢 Stay Informed, Stay Ahead!
These updates are a high-level summary. For deeper insights, subscribe to Mortgage Logic News via our ABW Agent Intranet under our corporate plan.

EPISODE 42: BEHIND THE LENDER with Damon Knights, VP National Sales at Equitable Bank
Guest: Damon Knights
Damon Knights, VP of National Sales at Equitable Bank, shares how EQB builds broker trust through fast communication, practical training, and relationship-driven lending—focusing on trust over rates in today’s competitive market.
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