
2/4/2025:
Tuesday Mortgage Memo: Your Weekly Market Highlights
Hi Team,
Welcome to this week’s ABW Tuesday Memo, designed to equip you with actionable insights to find more business and engage your clients effectively. Here are 5 key takeaways from the past week:
This Week’s Key Takeaways
- Canada Avoids Immediate Tariffs – For Now...
Canada has been granted a 30-day tariff deferral, offering a temporary reprieve from economic disruption. While negotiations continue, mortgage rates remain volatile. Brokers should keep an eye on market reactions and bond yields to advise clients on timing their mortgage decisions effectively.
- 5-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Drop Below 4%
A new low in advertised 5-year fixed rates was recorded at 3.99% from Vancity Credit Union, offering a prime opportunity for borrowers looking to lock in at lower rates. First National also launched a 4.39% insured 2-year fixed offer, which could be a great option for clients expecting rate cuts in the next two years.
- Bank of Canada Rate Cut Expectations Shift
Markets are now pricing in an 83% probability of a 25-bps rate cut on March 12, with at least two more cuts expected by mid-year. Variable rate borrowers should remain cautious, as rate reductions may not be as aggressive as previously expected.
- Home Prices & Sales Activity Cooling in Major Markets
Preliminary GTA home price data shows median prices fell 0.5% month-over-month, while active listings surged nearly 58% year-over-year. With slowing sales and rising inventory, it’s a buyer’s market in many regions. Brokers should highlight affordability improvements to attract clients back into the market.
- OSFI Pricing Scrutiny & Lender Strategy Shifts
Increased regulatory attention on "exception pricing" means brokers need to understand lender discount strategies and how they might impact approvals. Some lenders are tightening their rate offers, making it more important to shop around for the best client solutions.
Action Items for Brokers This Week
- Review your client pipeline for borrowers considering a rate lock—near-4% fixed rates won’t last forever.
- Stay ahead of lender policy shifts—some lenders may adjust exception pricing strategies due to OSFI’s tighter oversight.
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Stay Informed, Stay Ahead!
Don’t forget—these updates are a high-level summary.
For deeper insights, subscribe to Mortgage Logic News via our ABW Agent Intranet under our corporate plan.
Let’s make this week productive!

- Episode 27: Mortgage Logic News with Rob McLister - Discover game-changing insights for mortgage professionals in our latest episode featuring Rob McLister, founder of Mortgage Logic News, as we unpack industry trends, competitive strategies, and the tools brokers need to thrive in 2025!
- Full Episode Here
- Episode 26: Behind the Broker with Lena Larsen - Lena's Success Blueprint: From resilience as a new immigrant to scaling her business with coaching, automation, and work-life balance, Lena shares key insights for brokers to thrive in a competitive industry.
- Full Episode Here
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We look forward to helping you stay ahead of the market in 2025.






